One Mixed Bag Of Betting Topics Collide

Greetings from Beach County, North Carolina.

I haven't taken a day off since who knows how long doing CFB work and the first night I do, insomnia so welcome to a blog of rambling thoughts.

I also haven't taken a week off from thinking about goals for this upcoming seasons and how I want to operate more efficiently and effectively not just within my friendships and relationships but work. How I want to handle everything differently, better.

I'll share a few things that separate me from most when it comes to sports betting.

I hate following others in any capacity. Partners know this about me. I will beg you to take my totals if you're doing sides well. You do CBB, here's my NBA. You do MLB sides, here are my totals.

I'm the strongest believer in CLV ever. I would rather have CLV than win as a originator. If I am getting negative close but winning I know that's going to regress and then I'm lost as to why the market never agreed in the first place and I have results of a short sample to prove I was smarter than the market from not long ago... The market and karma are one in the same, both will catch up to you.

What makes having partners so hard is that I never know what they know and I don't have time to figure out if I agree with it or not, Im just following after all.

In the end Im never going to have my own CLV to prove anything as to right or wrong. It's all one big figure being paid one way or another. When I'm paying Im lazy and can do better and when I'm being paid?? Hot damn, God bless this easy money game!

However I'm now working on someone else's schedule. I'll put my MLB partner up against anyone you got, period but he sends me plays while they're singing the anthem 25% of the time, moves the market 5-10cents the other 25% of the time and I disagree with the play I'm not supposed to know anything about 40% of the time but I press submit 100% of the time...I'm committed until they commit me in this life.

We only argue once a month somehow and I consider him the closest of friends despite him being in Turkey one day, Italy the next week and hiking Colorado trails next week after we check on my stepdad.

Now I'm going to talk badly about modelers in some capacity but this is just my experience so apologies if you're the rare modeler who this doesn't attain to but you can possibly consider the end goal which might help you earn more going forward.

Here is my POV Modelers who are extremely dialed in and crushing close will achieve larger seasons than mere mortals will ever see.

Flipside when it goes bad, it can go bad to a point of no turning back and a bad season, can become a unexplainable nightmare. Adding, subtracting metrics and manually updating constantly. Same dead sides over and over.

The biggest upside I see in modelers is a desirable unattached reaction to results. My NBA partner for sides watched maybe 10 games in a entire season and bad beat? What bad beat, meh. Model got it basically right so whatevs.

I'm over here watching 48 minutes of a Toronto/Detroit game throwing remotes trying to dodge 7 points in the final 46 seconds in game 78 of two tank teams. However I can help the modeler.

I can't just keep losing money on the same dead side because it's pain inducing but in my limited experience it feels like models can have that same dead side until it's too late. I catch it long before in my watching and process of dinosaur methods.

Who's the best modeler in the world in NBA, now NFL, let's look at Euro football modelers. What do they all have in common? They all have partners who look for subjective input for them. None work alone. Same as me only flip it.

I don't necessarily want your NBA or CFB totals but if you have a number that maybe is different than mine let's find out why and which one the market gets us closer to the cup with. Of course I normally only want to know your number once mine has failed (half kidding) but nonetheless.

Next subject A few things in life will be bother me less in life than when a gambler of any kind but especially one who works hard is referred to as a degen or degenerate.

In a world of not being able to watch a game without 15 commercials for books, am and fm radio with shows being sponsored by draft kings and MGM 24/7, 10 emails a day on sgp promos, YouTube slot promoters, rake/vig increases on +EV or even neutral shit it feels unless you're old enough to know better, the average man is being lead to slaughter before he can even figure out if he had a chance to figure it out.

Let's calm down on the judgement and name calling in our community for a change. Everyone of us have had stretches or seasons we weren't proud of. Most of us put a lot more effort into that downswing and had no clue if it'd ever end in our deepest fears.

We can be better than name calling is all I'm saying.

Next... There was a topic in elihus book regarding MLB and correlated parlays which I really thought was over the top on what's shareable as far as +ev made public.

For that I commend him, I don't agree with sharing data like that but I also don't believe anyone has the right to say what edges people should relay to the public.

I want everyone who thinks that sports betting in 2024 to think about this especially the old timers who feel edges are drying up and things are becoming harder.

Betbash will have what 1000 people? 20+ panels? So that's likely rough estimate 200-400 people with a edge looking to talk to others about their edge and learn to add or find a new one. There will be more betbashes, more Sloan's, more whatever... The market is getting too big to turn back now. Pick a brain, let them pick yours.

People are writing books for $20 that give out edges that have been around for 25 years that books apparently have no interest in correcting the price on.

Odds pages are lowering their costs and adding props this fall. Oh and there's more than just one that crashes every football Saturday nowadays.

There are 200+ YouTube channels that are gambling related with actual intelligence behind them and it's only growing daily.

This means everytime you drive somewhere, every trip you take, every time you sit on the toilet you can educate yourself absentmindedly or engrossed and infinitely.

I just know that I prefer winning with others and learning in fascination of what others think, like and feel about things.

Find your niche and love it hard.

Thank you for the space and best of luck to all of you as always.

Your friend, Eddie